The tree · Access · World event · Root: on the scale of the whole window
A military role whose holders rotate off Earth
The military route: stay in, and take an opening that only exists once there is enough activity off Earth for the military to send people there with a survival or operator requirement. It needs the choice to have been made and a workforce off Earth to exist.
What counts as it having happened
Assignment to a military role from which holders are sent off Earth for a month or more, as recorded in the service record.
Settled by: The service record
Probability, by longevity scenario
| baseline2071 ± 8 | moderate2080 | strong2095 | radical2136 | openno deadline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 35% | 45% | 50% | 50% |
Each number is the chance this resolves yes before that scenario's window closes, given that everything it depends on resolves first. Estimated 2026-09-19.
Why these numbers: Needs the military to send survival or operator specialists off Earth while John is still serving; the lowest personal number because it depends on a service decision, not his. Personal, sketch-grade until pipeline graduation.
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The record itself is data/A-access.toml in the public repository.